Markets › Kalshi › Commodities
Brent Monthly on Kalshi
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for brent crude oil on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST is above 71.99 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Pyth - Brent.
Market says (typical open contract)
16%
Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
33% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17¢ (now) | 1.0¢ | $2.91 | 18.0% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 97.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $97.99 | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 9,090 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 107.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $107.99 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 9,053 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 105.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $105.99 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 8,831 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 115.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $115.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 8,398 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 95.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $95.99 | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 8,231 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 91.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $91.99 | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 7,480 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 101.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $101.99 | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 6,897 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 99.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $99.99 | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 6,647 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 113.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $113.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 6,417 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 109.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $109.99 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 6,187 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 111.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $111.99 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 5,341 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 103.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $103.99 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 4,402 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 119.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $119.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 4,243 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 93.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $93.99 | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 3,910 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 117.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $117.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 3,290 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 123.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $123.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 2,655 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 121.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $121.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 2,603 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 129.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $129.99 | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 1,498 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $89.99 | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 1,365 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 127.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $127.99 | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 1,042 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 125.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $125.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 986 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 79.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $79.99 | 81¢ | 81% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 615 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 83.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $83.99 | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 566 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 75.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $75.99 | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 411 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 87.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $87.99 | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 335 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 77.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $77.99 | 83¢ | 83% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 176 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 85.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $85.99 | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 135 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 71.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $71.99 | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 73.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $73.99 | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
| Will the brent crude oil close price be above 81.99 USD/Bbl on November 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EST? · Above $81.99 | 69¢ | 69% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 0 | Nov 30, 22:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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