What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

Will Song be number 2 on Billboard 100? on Kalshi

If Ya Hit is #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Nov 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Billboard.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 24 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Boston be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · Boston	55¢	55%	1.7¢	—	91%	300	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will Ya Hit be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · Ya Hit	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	64	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will STOP THE WEDDING! be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · STOP THE WEDDING!	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	64	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will Mr. Do Something be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · Mr. Do Something	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	64	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · All I Want For Christmas Is You	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	64	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will Last Christmas be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · Last Christmas	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	64	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will Patient Zero be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · Patient Zero	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	64	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will Babydoll be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · Babydoll	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	64	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will Thriller be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · Thriller	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will stupid song be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · stupid song	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will Risk It All be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · Risk It All	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will Nicole Kidman be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · Nicole Kidman	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will Midnight Sun be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · Midnight Sun	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will LOVING LIFE AGAIN be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · LOVING LIFE AGAIN	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will Lies be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · Lies	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will JADED be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · JADED	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will I Just Might be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · I Just Might	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will hate that i made you love me be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · hate that i made you love me	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will expectations be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · expectations	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will Choosin' Texas be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · Choosin' Texas	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	50	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will BE HER be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · BE HER	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will Been By Now be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · Been By Now	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	50	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will BbY WOW be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · BbY WOW	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC
Will HOUSEWIFE be #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of Nov 21, 2026 · HOUSEWIFE	15¢	15%	0.9¢	—	30%	0	Nov 16, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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