What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 50¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.77.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 51% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 50%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Climate and Weather

Beaver Creek snowfall on Kalshi

If the total snowfall recorded at Beaver Creek Resort October 1, 2026 through December 24, 2026 (value recorded at 4:00 PM ET on December 24) is above 90 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Beaver Creek Resort Snow & Weather Report, the New York Times, Vail Resorts, the Associated Press, The Wall Street Journal, Reuters.

Market says (typical open contract)

50%

Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

99% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
49¢ (now)	1.7¢	$1.79	50.7%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Above 50 inches · Above 50 inches	46¢	46%	1.7¢	—	93%	1,346	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC
Above 70 inches · Above 70 inches	39¢	39%	1.7¢	—	78%	1,212	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC
Above 30 inches · Above 30 inches	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	16%	1,071	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC
Above 60 inches · Above 60 inches	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	489	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC
Above 100 inches · Above 100 inches	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	188	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC
Above 80 inches · Above 80 inches	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	110	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC
Above 90 inches · Above 90 inches	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC
Above 40 inches · Above 40 inches	55¢	55%	1.7¢	—	89%	0	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC
Above 115 inches · Above 115 inches	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	0	Dec 24, 20:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.