What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 11¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.12.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 12% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 11%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Elections

Next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia on Kalshi

If Ravi Parmar formally holds the position of leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: BC NDP, Legislative Assembly of British Columbia.

Market says (typical open contract)

11%

Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

22% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
11¢ (now)	0.7¢	$3.12	11.7%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will Ravi Parmar be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Ravi Parmar	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Ravi Kahlon be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Ravi Kahlon	11¢	11%	0.7¢	—	22%	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Niki Sharma be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Niki Sharma	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	32%	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Mike Farnworth be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Mike Farnworth	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Josie Osborne be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Josie Osborne	13¢	13%	0.8¢	—	26%	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Brad West be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Brad West	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Bowinn Ma be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Bowinn Ma	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC
Will Adrian Dix be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia before Jan 1, 2028? · Adrian Dix	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	12%	Jan 08, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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