What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 80¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.70.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 81% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 80%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Companies

Boeing Annual KPI on Kalshi

If Boeing Company (The) reports above 630 commercial airplane deliveries in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fiscal.ai.

Market says (typical open contract)

80%

Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

40% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
80¢ (now)	1.1¢	$0.70	81.1%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 680 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026? · Above 680	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	105,936	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 660 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026? · Above 660	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	15%	87,570	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 640 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026? · Above 640	36¢	36%	1.6¢	—	71%	69,587	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 620 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026? · Above 620	90¢	90%	0.6¢	—	20%	61,650	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 600 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026? · Above 600	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	13%	60,910	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 560 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026? · Above 560	96¢	96%	0.2¢	—	7%	51,088	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 580 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026? · Above 580	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	11%	33,865	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Boeing Company (The) report Above 700 commercial airplane deliveries in 2026? · Above 700	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	33,857	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Boeing Company (The) report above 650 commercial airplane deliveries in fiscal 2026? · Above 650	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	23%	12,329	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Boeing Company (The) report above 630 commercial airplane deliveries in fiscal 2026? · Above 630	80¢	80%	1.1¢	—	40%	9,591	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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