What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 59¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.43.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 61% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 59%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

AUDUSD Daily on Kalshi

If the value of the AUDUSD opening candlestick is Above 0.705 at 5pm ET on Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Pyth - AUDUSD.

Market says (typical open contract)

59%

Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

82% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
59¢ (now)	1.7¢	$1.44	60.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.705 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.705	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.703 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.703	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.701 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.701	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.699 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.699	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.697 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.697	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.695 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.695	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.693 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.693	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.691 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.691	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.689 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.689	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.687 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.687	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.685 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.685	59¢	59%	1.7¢	—	82%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.683 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.683	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	16%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.681 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.681	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.679 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.679	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.677 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.677	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.675 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.675	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.673 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.673	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.671 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.671	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.669 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.669	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Will AUDUSD be Above 0.667 at 5pm ET on Nov 10? · Above 0.667	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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