Markets › Kalshi › Financials
Aritzia Annual KPI on Kalshi
If Aritzia Inc. reports Above 33 comparable sales growth in fiscal 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aritzia Inc. report Above 24% comparable sales growth in 2027? · Above 24% | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 2,085 | Jul 30, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Aritzia Inc. report Above 21% comparable sales growth in 2027? · Above 21% | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 1,629 | Jul 30, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Aritzia Inc. report Above 18% comparable sales growth in 2027? · Above 18% | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 646 | Jul 30, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Aritzia Inc. report Above 27% comparable sales growth in 2027? · Above 27% | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 465 | Jul 30, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Aritzia Inc. report Above 30% comparable sales growth in 2027? · Above 30% | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 437 | Jul 30, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Aritzia Inc. report Above 33% comparable sales growth in 2027? · Above 33% | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 392 | Jul 30, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Aritzia Inc. report Above 12% comparable sales growth in 2027? · Above 12% | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 357 | Jul 30, 04:00 UTC |
| Will Aritzia Inc. report Above 15% comparable sales growth in 2027? · Above 15% | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 92 | Jul 30, 04:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.