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APF Division de Honor on Kalshi
If Trinidense is the 2026 APF Division de Honor Clausura Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6¢ (now) | 0.4¢ | $3.29 | 6.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luqueno win the APF Division de Honor Clausura? · Luqueno | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 703 | Dec 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will CD Recoleta win the APF Division de Honor Clausura? · CD Recoleta | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 621 | Dec 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will San Lorenzo win the APF Division de Honor Clausura? · San Lorenzo | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 522 | Dec 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Rubio Nu win the APF Division de Honor Clausura? · Rubio Nu | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 522 | Dec 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Olimpia win the APF Division de Honor Clausura? · Olimpia | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 420 | Dec 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Sportivo Ameliano win the APF Division de Honor Clausura? · Sportivo Ameliano | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 100 | Dec 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Cerro Porteno win the APF Division de Honor Clausura? · Cerro Porteno | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 100 | Dec 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Trinidense win the APF Division de Honor Clausura? · Trinidense | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 22 | Dec 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Nacional win the APF Division de Honor Clausura? · Nacional | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 22 | Dec 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will CS 2 de Mayo win the APF Division de Honor Clausura? · CS 2 de Mayo | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 22 | Dec 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Libertad win the APF Division de Honor Clausura? · Libertad | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 22 | Dec 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Club Guarani win the APF Division de Honor Clausura? · Club Guarani | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 22 | Dec 13, 22:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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