What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.41.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 3% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

Amusement Parks & Attractions Ad Spend on Kalshi

If the Carbon Arc Amusement Parks & Attractions Ad Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 38 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Carbon Arc.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

5% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.2¢	$3.40	3.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Amusement Parks & Attractions Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 137 ? · Above 137	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	12%	2,097	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Amusement Parks & Attractions Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 38 ? · Above 38	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Amusement Parks & Attractions Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 87.5 ? · Above 87.5	80¢	80%	1.1¢	—	39%	0	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Amusement Parks & Attractions Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 506 ? · Above 506	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Amusement Parks & Attractions Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 371.5 ? · Above 371.5	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Amusement Parks & Attractions Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 320.5 ? · Above 320.5	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Amusement Parks & Attractions Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 280.5 ? · Above 280.5	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Amusement Parks & Attractions Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 247 ? · Above 247	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	0	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Amusement Parks & Attractions Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 216 ? · Above 216	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC
Will Amusement Parks & Attractions Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 186.5 ? · Above 186.5	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Dec 06, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.