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Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo on Kalshi
If ALL of a Republican candidate in Alaska's U.S. House at-large election, a Republican candidate in Alaska's Governor election, and a Republican candidate in Alaska's U.S. Senate election win their respective elections in the November 3, 2026 Alaska general elections for U.S. House at-large, Governor, and U.S. Senate, using the ultimate winners after ranked-choice tabulation, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Alaska Division of Elections.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska combo: Democratic sweep? · Democratic sweep | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 33,204 | Nov 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Alaska combo: Independent House, Republican Governor, Democratic Senate? · Independent House, Republican Governor, Democratic Senate | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 9,206 | Nov 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Alaska combo: Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House? · Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 5,950 | Nov 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Alaska combo: Republican sweep? · Republican sweep | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,638 | Nov 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Alaska combo: Republicans win House & Governor; Democrat wins Senate? · Republicans win House & Governor; Democrat wins Senate | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,691 | Nov 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Alaska combo: Independent wins House; Democrats win Governor & Senate? · Independent wins House; Democrats win Governor & Senate | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 3,446 | Nov 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Alaska combo: Republicans win House & Senate; Democrat wins Governor? · Republicans win House & Senate; Democrat wins Governor | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 2,772 | Nov 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Alaska combo: Republicans win Governor & Senate; Democrat wins House? · Republicans win Governor & Senate; Democrat wins House | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,502 | Nov 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Alaska combo: Democrats win House & Governor; Republican wins Senate? · Democrats win House & Governor; Republican wins Senate | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,906 | Nov 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Alaska combo: Democrats win House & Senate; Republican wins Governor? · Democrats win House & Senate; Republican wins Governor | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,312 | Nov 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Alaska combo: Independent House, Democratic Governor, Republican Senate? · Independent House, Democratic Governor, Republican Senate | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 835 | Nov 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Alaska combo: Independent wins House; Republicans win Governor & Senate? · Independent wins House; Republicans win Governor & Senate | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 829 | Nov 03, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.