What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 61¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.36.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 63% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 61%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Economics

US airline fares CPI in [month] on Kalshi

If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for October 2026 is above 344, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index.

Market says (typical open contract)

61%

Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

78% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
61¢ (now)	1.7¢	$1.37	62.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 334? · Above 334	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	88%	1,114	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 332? · Above 332	52¢	52%	1.7¢	—	96%	974	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 336? · Above 336	36¢	36%	1.6¢	—	73%	717	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 338? · Above 338	29¢	29%	1.4¢	—	58%	699	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 320? · Above 320	91¢	91%	0.6¢	—	18%	691	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 324? · Above 324	83¢	83%	1.0¢	—	34%	686	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 328? · Above 328	69¢	69%	1.5¢	—	62%	597	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 318? · Above 318	95¢	95%	0.3¢	—	10%	491	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 322? · Above 322	88¢	88%	0.7¢	—	24%	487	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 330? · Above 330	61¢	61%	1.7¢	—	78%	472	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 326? · Above 326	77¢	77%	1.2¢	—	46%	364	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 340? · Above 340	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	44%	228	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 344? · Above 344	11¢	11%	0.7¢	—	22%	200	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Airline Fares in U.S. City Average for October 2026 be above 342? · Above 342	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	32%	174	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.