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AFCON Champion on Kalshi
If Zimbabwe is the 2027 Men's Africa Cup of Nations champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
9%
Median YES price across 27 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
18% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9¢ (now) | 0.6¢ | $3.19 | 9.6% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Morocco | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 2,420 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Egypt win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Egypt | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 432 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Nigeria win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Nigeria | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 254 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Senegal win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Senegal | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 223 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Cameroon win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Cameroon | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 100 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ivory Coast win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Ivory Coast | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 21 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ghana win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Ghana | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 9 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will South Africa win the Africa Cup of Nations? · South Africa | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 9 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Congo DR win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Congo DR | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 4 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Zimbabwe win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Zimbabwe | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Zambia win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Zambia | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Uganda win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Uganda | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tunisia win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Tunisia | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Tanzania win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Tanzania | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sudan win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Sudan | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Mozambique win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Mozambique | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Mali win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Mali | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Guinea win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Guinea | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Equatorial Guinea win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Equatorial Guinea | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Gabon win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Gabon | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Algeria win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Algeria | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Cape Verde win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Cape Verde | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Comoros win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Comoros | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Burkina Faso win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Burkina Faso | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Botswana win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Botswana | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Benin win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Benin | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Angola win the Africa Cup of Nations? · Angola | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Aug 03, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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