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Adriatic ABA Champion on Kalshi
If KK Zadar wins the Adriatic ABA championship in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Sofascore, Flashscore, Flashscore, 365 Scores, Sofascore.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adriatic ABA Champion: KK Zadar · KK Zadar | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: BC Vienna · BC Vienna | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: U-BT Cluj-Napoca · U-BT Cluj-Napoca | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: Spartak Subotica · Spartak Subotica | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: HKK Siroki · HKK Siroki | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: KK Mega Basket Belgrade · KK Mega Basket Belgrade | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: KK Krka Novo Mesto · KK Krka Novo Mesto | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: KK Partizan Belgrade · KK Partizan Belgrade | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: KD Ilirija · KD Ilirija | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: Igokea Aleksandrovac · Igokea Aleksandrovac | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: KK FMP Belgrade · KK FMP Belgrade | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: Dubai Basketball · Dubai Basketball | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade · KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: KK Cibona · KK Cibona | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: KK Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana · KK Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: KK Studentski centar Podgorica · KK Studentski centar Podgorica | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: KK Buducnost Voli · KK Buducnost Voli | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: BC Slovan Bratislava · BC Slovan Bratislava | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo · KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
| Adriatic ABA Champion: KK Borac Cacak · KK Borac Cacak | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jul 07, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.